Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 137.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42d9d451e0e749e23a8cd88c64002785480d1ef3c4b680059902e16bd1845592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 47c | 165$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 161.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 118.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 47c | 112$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 46c | 97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 137.5this page
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Villanova WildcatsVillanova Wildcats won
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 135.5Over won
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 136.5Over won
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-12.5)DePaul Blue Demons won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-13.5)DePaul Blue Demons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.