Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d46e7c39e899759a58d8f90eb27335716530439edcbd6474f06add9f5fdfa13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 56c | 32,142$17,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,997.8 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 14,522$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,105.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 9,671$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,496.35 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 4,067$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 64c | 1,865$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.15 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 79c | 1,240$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.45 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 43c | 749.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Over | 9c | 739$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Over | 8c | 734.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 402$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 36c | 387.35$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 39c | 277.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 218$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 212.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 46c | 180.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Under | 44c | 161.07$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 135.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 49c | 134$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 47c | 125.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 50c | 122.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 44c | 102.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 85.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Under | 46c | 76.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…bb49backed Over | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…506fbacked Under | 44c | 39.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9672…e185backed Under | 45c | 27.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 46c | 22.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 138.5this page
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Villanova WildcatsVillanova Wildcats won
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 135.5Over won
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 136.5Over won
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-12.5)DePaul Blue Demons won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-13.5)DePaul Blue Demons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.