Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lazio beat Twente?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42e9d7194aeff245c472dc9c6cd77596540e366e1530aa2c14039f0ee1853c66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 66c | 4,893$3,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,252.87 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 7c | 1,183$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 33c | 957.58$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…365bbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Yes | 69c | 165.65$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 33c | 120.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d5c1backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…f4e5backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 66c | 46.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…e04fbacked Yes | 34c | 46.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76a…c0fdbacked Yes | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153d…e09bbacked Yes | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 69c | 31.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…1a68backed Yes | 52c | 26.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 62c | 23.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lazio beat Twente?this page
- Will Twente beat Lazio?No won
- Will the match between Twente and Lazio end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.