Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs paiN Gaming (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42eababb2c11a0dead248351f085e6762a01f5b934fabe6a5c1654996360aa92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa97f…a818backed paiN Gaming | 22c | 1,700$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked paiN Gaming | 12c | 1,443$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed paiN Gaming | 6c | 1,409$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked paiN Gaming | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed paiN Gaming | 13c | 999.12$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Gaming | 11c | 953.76$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed paiN Gaming | 6c | 826.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN Gaming | 19c | 800.63$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked paiN Gaming | 10c | 790.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Team Liquid | 80c | 750.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed paiN Gaming | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 309$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed paiN Gaming | 13c | 238$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed paiN Gaming | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed paiN Gaming | 11c | 194$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed paiN Gaming | 15c | 174.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed paiN Gaming | 16c | 162.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed paiN Gaming | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 131.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…4ed2backed paiN Gaming | 14c | 118.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Team Liquid | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a1…8497backed paiN Gaming | 11c | 98.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked paiN Gaming | 14c | 83.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…fd20backed paiN Gaming | 22c | 72.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Team Liquid | 78c | 52.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Liquid | 79c | 50.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Team Liquid | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 148 | 68.9%102 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…fe2ebacked Team Liquid | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Team Liquid | 80c | 16.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.