La Liga · resolved market
Will Burgos CF win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42ffb2c09bcdff9af506e4c1ed17f0e58493a0a71c3c41cf8256f678dbfccc23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 43c | 16,000$6,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,119.84 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 58c | 14,943$8,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,603.47 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…b10cbacked No | 57c | 10,320$5,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,437.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Yes | 43c | 10,320$4,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 5,166$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.97 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,030$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.5 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 46c | 999$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.46 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 43c | 922.45$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…4346backed Yes | 73c | 617.27$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 75c | 490.57$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.93 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 43c | 469.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 45c | 333.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 76c | 260.94$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.4 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked Yes | 61c | 236.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Yes | 80c | 192.12$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 38c | 187.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 23c | 154.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 47c | 146.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 138.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 46c | 112$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 53c | 100.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d19fbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab1…32ddbacked Yes | 36c | 54.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Yes | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked No | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked No | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked No | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 54c | 19.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgos CF win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Burgos CF vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.