La Liga · resolved market
Will Burgos CF vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b3481f6784b8528e4ee5abcd93d2fec9b2e94182249d1487198c6cde3d60378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 33c | 910$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.7 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 862.36$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.98 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 34c | 290.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 116.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 98.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 46c | 83.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 33c | 73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 25c | 51.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 34c | 50.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed No | 67c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 61c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 67c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed No | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…215cbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgos CF vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?this page
- Will Burgos CF win on 2025-12-21?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.