Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Morgan State Bears vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x432fd8904755b169c84bef253f0a4349530d84140626f6d438e745a638d8bb39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morgan State Bearsof Morgan State Bears, South Carolina State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 41c | 627.3$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.75 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…69f6backed Morgan State Bears | 35c | 436$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 10c | 402.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb85c…faa4backed Morgan State Bears | 35c | 402$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Morgan State Bears | 50c | 399$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…d43bbacked Morgan State Bears | 35c | 334$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…5106backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 64c | 256$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710e…f6b8backed Morgan State Bears | 36c | 254$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…6a30backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 65c | 246$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96e…4f11backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 65c | 216$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…a1e2backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 65c | 207$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…893cbacked Morgan State Bears | 36c | 191$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…80a4backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 64c | 189$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100b…7a49backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 65c | 180$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990f…8490backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 65c | 169$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…5899backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 65c | 154$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Morgan State Bears | 69c | 151.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Morgan State Bears | 71c | 115.83$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Morgan State Bears | 49c | 79.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…55b1backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 25c | 71.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Morgan State Bears | 42c | 43.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 60c | 29.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 58c | 23.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Morgan State Bears | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.