CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs AaB esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4384a707b81f12c6b211e9ce59b5b823bc4f917cbda4105a6924283b16784d04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof GenOne, AaB esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed GenOne | 69c | 1,400$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked GenOne | 69c | 939.94$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.81 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed AaB esport | 38c | 660$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed AaB esport | 30c | 554.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.28 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed AaB esport | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed GenOne | 66c | 417.65$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked AaB esport | 34c | 388.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed AaB esport | 30c | 312.2$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ce61backed AaB esport | 17c | 270.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked GenOne | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GenOne | 80c | 16.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.