Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Koksijde Men: Nicolas Robert vs Michael Geerts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43dfdb73f602e27e5d775dc9c7e9607d9e5da3b48633caa34610dbf3e83e76fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Geertsof Nicolas Robert, Michael Geerts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Nicolas Robert | 43c | 1,865$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.95 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Michael Geerts | 78c | 1,149$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.84 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Nicolas Robert | 28c | 835.25$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.87 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Nicolas Robert | 18c | 766.67$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Robert | 18c | 401.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Michael Geerts | 75c | 291.61$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Nicolas Robert | 25c | 246.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c07…f713backed Nicolas Robert | 14c | 202.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…1a11backed Nicolas Robert | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Nicolas Robert | 31c | 83.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nicolas Robert | 16c | 65.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…3a93backed Nicolas Robert | 24c | 62.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Nicolas Robert | 26c | 53.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Michael Geerts | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Nicolas Robert | 24c | 44.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Michael Geerts | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Michael Geerts | 69c | 35.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Michael Geerts | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 257 | 68.9%177 W · 80 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Michael Geerts | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Michael Geerts | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Michael Geerts | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 168 | 70.8%119 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de5…06bdbacked Michael Geerts | 77c | 15.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Michael Geerts | 80c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.