Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44087fb2d5fadc0d9df982e88471ba253bfc02e3d5c09ae2c99c364b934f50c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 16c | 7,649$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.04 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 25c | 6,500$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.96 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 3,550$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…24a9backed Yes | 75c | 2,345$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 1c | 1,402$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 75c | 1,334$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.48 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…cfbebacked Yes | 76c | 1,058$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 3c | 880$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d7…e193backed Yes | 75c | 717.12$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 26c | 630$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 75c | 595.58$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.89 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 75c | 568.07$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 75c | 567.87$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…4ed3backed Yes | 76c | 522.37$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 76c | 492$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 18c | 490$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 75c | 466.2$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes | 76c | 368.46$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 14c | 263.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 14c | 214.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 76c | 202$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…637dbacked Yes | 76c | 156.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 17c | 154.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 76c | 144.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 25c | 141$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9757…190bbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…6deebacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Yes | 77c | 89.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf170…9da7backed Yes | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 74c | 74.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23a0…7a5fbacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…c6d4backed Yes | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…722cbacked Yes | 76c | 63.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a73fbacked Yes | 75c | 60.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…d10fbacked No | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 48.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…1ae0backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…e38fbacked Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 75c | 26.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…759abacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…8b55backed Yes | 76c | 20.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5517…11d5backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…475fbacked Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 75c | 19.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7139…27d4backed Yes | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes | 75c | 15.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 74c | 15.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.