Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Motherwell FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44090e722b73e71ebf4fc056d5b76239ca21d9b1c7d4ea26d86a8d0bc20ec936
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Motherwell FCof Motherwell FC, HB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed HB | 66c | 22,000$14,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,441.1 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Motherwell FC | 34c | 14,048$4,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,262.68 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Motherwell FC | 35c | 1,487$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.49 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Motherwell FC | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Motherwell FC | 34c | 944.53$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.39 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed HB | 8c | 927.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Motherwell FC | 35c | 855.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.39 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Motherwell FC | 36c | 833$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.12 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Motherwell FC | 36c | 833$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.12 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Motherwell FC | 35c | 600$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Motherwell FC | 35c | 490.7$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.46 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed HB | 5c | 366.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Motherwell FC | 36c | 365$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Motherwell FC | 35c | 267.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.03 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Motherwell FC | 35c | 226.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Motherwell FC | 36c | 123$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Motherwell FC | 35c | 105$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Motherwell FC | 35c | 61.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Motherwell FC | 32c | 50.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Motherwell FC | 35c | 42.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed HB | 64c | 33.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed HB | 63c | 24.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Motherwell FC (-1.5)this page
- HB vs. Motherwell FC: HB O/U 0.5Under won
- HB vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- HB vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- HB vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- HB vs. Motherwell FC: Team to AdvanceMotherwell FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.