Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x443130762a7224c7a0f0a2e7b0462fd3cc34e3f11221fec4efb395a17b9047ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angers SCOof Olympique de Marseille, Angers SCO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 1,112$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Angers SCO | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 630$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Angers SCO | 68c | 526$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.87 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Angers SCO | 65c | 387.6$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Angers SCO | 65c | 322.03$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…dc65backed Olympique de Marseille | 33c | 270$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Angers SCO | 65c | 159.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Angers SCO | 66c | 110.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Olympique de Marseille | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0a6dbacked Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Olympique de Marseille | 30c | 53.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Olympique de Marseille | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Angers SCO | 68c | 20.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…c839backed Angers SCO | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.