Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee vs. Kentucky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x443c0bf0b5b8fc5bb8778a5998fc436deb7a139bc823ac884b00950d0b641315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentuckyof Tennessee, Kentucky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tennessee | 48c | 1,089$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.88 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x174c…59a8backed Kentucky | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tennessee | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.75 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kentucky | 41c | 609.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.42 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Kentucky | 37c | 308.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.56 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Kentucky | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc261…6111backed Kentucky | 41c | 169$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8c…28dbbacked Tennessee | 59c | 155$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe230…30c7backed Kentucky | 41c | 137$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…eaaebacked Tennessee | 59c | 137$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Kentucky | 24c | 91.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kentucky | 15c | 75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…c7ddbacked Tennessee | 62c | 56.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Tennessee | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kentucky | 35c | 53.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…7a30backed Kentucky | 37c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…9397backed Tennessee | 59c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…332abacked Kentucky | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…8404backed Tennessee | 65c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…da2abacked Tennessee | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…c88cbacked Tennessee | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…7f20backed Tennessee | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b3…a11bbacked Tennessee | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…9f9bbacked Kentucky | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Tennessee | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Tennessee | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…00dfbacked Tennessee | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54d…2972backed Kentucky | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…a2a6backed Kentucky | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.