Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44739742c226064fda9e1d922825de2d63e2bdf3bf663e73d27f472cb7a87c68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Silkeborg IFof FC Nordsjælland, Silkeborg IF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Silkeborg IF | 62c | 3,808$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.77 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Nordsjælland | 41c | 3,434$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.18 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FC Nordsjælland | 9c | 1,336$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Silkeborg IF | 52c | 1,132$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.48 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…df79backed FC Nordsjælland | 48c | 928.19$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Silkeborg IF | 65c | 724.2$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.47 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed FC Nordsjælland | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked FC Nordsjælland | 22c | 449.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC Nordsjælland | 40c | 174.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked FC Nordsjælland | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed FC Nordsjælland | 25c | 98.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Silkeborg IF | 62c | 81.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Silkeborg IF | 62c | 79.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Silkeborg IF | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Silkeborg IF | 62c | 38.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Silkeborg IF | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Silkeborg IF | 60c | 22.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)this page
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: FC Nordsjælland O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: Silkeborg IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)Silkeborg IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.