Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Fredericia vs. FC København: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44bae61878dfcbec7d5cb41d39c80c0d7adef3245a57535bfca92ff173891abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 1,115$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.77 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…2ab7backed Over | 56c | 199.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 39c | 189.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 152.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 60c | 104.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 71c | 97.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 62c | 80.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 50c | 77.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 44c | 68.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 67c | 54.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…4939backed Under | 55c | 41.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Fredericia vs. FC København: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Fredericia vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Fredericia vs. FC København: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Fredericia vs. FC København: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)FC Fredericia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.