Asian League · resolved market
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44ded010f13e2ec00d344153778c2647d6d1a3fb4786eec4094167399f655a42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed06…72e7backed Over | 45c | 1,960$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 55c | 1,234$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.86 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked Under | 59c | 864.32$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 857.4$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.98 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 55c | 545$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 15c | 328.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 109.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 58c | 101$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 93.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 48c | 88.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 53c | 79.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 52c | 57.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 55c | 42.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Over | 49c | 36.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 35c | 36.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 46c | 34.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 35c | 29.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 67c | 28.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 65c | 27.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Under | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 20.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Jeju SK FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-2.5)Jeju SK FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.