TailMyPicks
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,694 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabce…2f87backed Over47c599.97$282 inWon+$317.9826052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under55c574.1$317 inLost-$317.54854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over62c524.27$325 inWon+$199.2212074.2%89 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c413.15$163 inLost-$163.482,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under16c299.7$47 inLost-$47.3672342%304 W · 419 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c147$110 inLost-$110.315,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under43c145.77$63 inLost-$62.9235947.4%170 W · 189 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under58c142.62$83 inLost-$82.7770652.3%369 W · 337 L+1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over35c135.03$47 inWon+$87.777050%35 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under65c129.24$84 inLost-$84.016248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over25c100$25 inWon+$7520157.2%115 W · 86 L+15.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over61c93.35$57 inWon+$36.4112962%80 W · 49 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over28c71.4$20 inWon+$51.4677056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over24c65.24$16 inWon+$49.582,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf98…0924backed Under51c58.89$30 inLost-$302263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over41c53.55$22 inWon+$31.738836.4%32 W · 56 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over49c50$25 inWon+$25.54254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed Under76c40$30 inLost-$30.43969.2%27 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under74c37.93$28 inLost-$28.064158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over30c37.29$11 inWon+$26.114629.5%43 W · 103 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under75c34.16$26 inLost-$25.6824161.4%148 W · 93 L+17.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5fd…6f17backed Over46c33.99$16 inWon+$18.27955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+65.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under55c28.17$15 inLost-$15.391353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over57c25.88$15 inWon+$11.0559342.5%252 W · 341 L-28.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under75c22.81$17 inLost-$17.1133454.8%183 W · 151 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.