Tennis · resolved market
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Martina Trevisan vs Taylor Townsend
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4551299d21c15e32cf9fd6e7e1ae174b4fbb3f57a9630bf48dcb92ab3af4a301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taylor Townsendof Martina Trevisan, Taylor Townsend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Martina Trevisan | 7c | 5,206$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.18 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Martina Trevisan | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.9 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Martina Trevisan | 10c | 2,622$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.79 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martina Trevisan | 14c | 1,972$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Martina Trevisan | 20c | 1,667$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Martina Trevisan | 10c | 678$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Martina Trevisan | 10c | 492.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Martina Trevisan | 5c | 449.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Martina Trevisan | 6c | 341.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…16b7backed Martina Trevisan | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Martina Trevisan | 11c | 301.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Martina Trevisan | 12c | 261.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Martina Trevisan | 11c | 224$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Martina Trevisan | 10c | 212.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Martina Trevisan | 21c | 211.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Taylor Townsend | 79c | 206.62$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Martina Trevisan | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martina Trevisan | 12c | 156.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Martina Trevisan | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Martina Trevisan | 10c | 113$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Martina Trevisan | 11c | 112.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Taylor Townsend | 80c | 70.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Taylor Townsend | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.