CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x456ac36ae3515e3ae5e73483c1c4531eb686c6adacb03a858492badd402b91a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Academyof METANOIA WOLVES, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,063 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 6,456$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.17 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN Academy | 54c | 2,639$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.1 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 1c | 2,338$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed METANOIA WOLVES | 3c | 1,539$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed paiN Academy | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked paiN Academy | 55c | 548.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.82 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked paiN Academy | 55c | 451.15$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 293 | 53.6%157 W · 136 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed paiN Academy | 68c | 349$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Academy | 70c | 304.9$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed paiN Academy | 58c | 287.34$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 665 | 46.8%311 W · 354 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 55c | 198.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked paiN Academy | 45c | 183.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked paiN Academy | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed paiN Academy | 56c | 116.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed paiN Academy | 53c | 105.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 78.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked paiN Academy | 57c | 63.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked paiN Academy | 54c | 55.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed paiN Academy | 55c | 54.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 971 | 43.7%424 W · 547 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed METANOIA WOLVES | 33c | 53.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 2,484 | 24.7%613 W · 1,871 L | -318.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…1e76backed METANOIA WOLVES | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed paiN Academy | 44c | 30.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed paiN Academy | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked paiN Academy | 70c | 27.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…08ddbacked paiN Academy | 58c | 26.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group StagepaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs paiN Academy - Map 2 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.