Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ALT F4 vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45a63643c3817edf8a8947dad8d4b557c66a9ef8395fd06e87adebf3326378f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALT F4of ALT F4, KRÜ Spark
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1966…25c0backed ALT F4 | 23c | 1,712$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.37 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed ALT F4 | 25c | 877.2$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.18 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed KRÜ Spark | 76c | 851.32$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed KRÜ Spark | 76c | 846.95$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.15 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…acb1backed ALT F4 | 26c | 765.5$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed KRÜ Spark | 78c | 575$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.11 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed KRÜ Spark | 76c | 455$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked ALT F4 | 56c | 443.51$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KRÜ Spark | 49c | 388.91$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.98 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed KRÜ Spark | 78c | 365$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.84 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…f04bbacked ALT F4 | 24c | 354.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.16 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed ALT F4 | 48c | 340.34$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed KRÜ Spark | 26c | 304.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked KRÜ Spark | 77c | 218.86$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ALT F4 | 23c | 210.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed KRÜ Spark | 77c | 208.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed ALT F4 | 51c | 199.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed ALT F4 | 75c | 186$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed ALT F4 | 23c | 175.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…c1c8backed KRÜ Spark | 77c | 172.63$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed ALT F4 | 56c | 140.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed ALT F4 | 24c | 120.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALT F4 | 35c | 119.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ALT F4 | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked KRÜ Spark | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…5a3dbacked KRÜ Spark | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked KRÜ Spark | 53c | 88.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed KRÜ Spark | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…51f6backed KRÜ Spark | 76c | 80.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed ALT F4 | 47c | 70.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked KRÜ Spark | 64c | 67.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed KRÜ Spark | 78c | 63.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…5d81backed KRÜ Spark | 74c | 63.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed KRÜ Spark | 78c | 54.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked KRÜ Spark | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked ALT F4 | 76c | 50.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed KRÜ Spark | 74c | 48.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed ALT F4 | 53c | 41.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked KRÜ Spark | 77c | 41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed ALT F4 | 55c | 36.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked KRÜ Spark | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed KRÜ Spark | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALT F4 | 63c | 21.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…375ebacked ALT F4 | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked KRÜ Spark | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ALT F4 vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagethis page
- Map Handicap: KRÜ Spark (-1.5) vs ALT F4 (+1.5)ALT F4 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.