CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45b3036eda14cc09eb245144352ae5c6637610f0b2b9524d2c3c703aa75255e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falcons Forceof Falcons Force, FC Famalicão Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Falcons Force | 73c | 2,242$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.25 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 22c | 911.27$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.49 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed FC Famalicão Esports | 27c | 781.48$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Falcons Force | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…ecc1backed FC Famalicão Esports | 28c | 505.89$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Falcons Force | 74c | 500.97$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 24c | 375$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Falcons Force | 73c | 369.99$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Famalicão Esports | 24c | 345.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 27c | 332$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Falcons Force | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Falcons Force | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 26c | 282.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed FC Famalicão Esports | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…9ef7backed FC Famalicão Esports | 27c | 200.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Falcons Force | 77c | 191.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b1…b066backed Falcons Force | 73c | 160.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FC Famalicão Esports | 28c | 115.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed FC Famalicão Esports | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 25c | 45.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Falcons Force | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Falcons Force | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Falcons Force | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group CFalcons Force won
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 1 WinnerFalcons Force won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: Falcons Force (-1.5) vs FC Famalicão Esports (+1.5)Falcons Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.