Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-10-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c4f744ad48f2402384f80950a82b4018f6bde10c3416de8c309d805d6d04c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdea6…a170backed Yes | 15c | 2,279$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…79dfbacked Yes | 61c | 1,643$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 1,630$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.14 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Yes | 6c | 1,274$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 1,025$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.25 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…69cdbacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…994fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed No | 65c | 756.43$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 35c | 480$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…4878backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f4…4dfbbacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 25c | 73.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 33c | 67.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…1093backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…72dfbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d84…e3acbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc824…16e4backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6742…ce78backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 33.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3009…d675backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-10-31?this page
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2025-10-31?Yes won
- Will Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.