Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x460d5e4bc788fed7376763f94b6a610694ea217c31f6f314a5565c1052b9ba60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNCW Seahawksof UNCW Seahawks, Northeastern Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Northeastern Huskies | 44c | 242.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…3f90backed UNCW Seahawks | 56c | 241.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNCW Seahawks | 53c | 188.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Northeastern Huskies | 48c | 125.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed UNCW Seahawks | 22c | 84.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Northeastern Huskies | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northeastern Huskies | 46c | 58.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed UNCW Seahawks | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed UNCW Seahawks | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UNCW Seahawks | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Northeastern Huskies | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Northeastern Huskies | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…639ebacked Northeastern Huskies | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…5f3bbacked Northeastern Huskies | 76c | 26.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Northeastern Huskies | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Northeastern Huskies | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-3.5)this page
- Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-4.5)UNCW Seahawks won
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Northeastern HuskiesUNCW Seahawks won
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Northeastern Huskies: O/U 145.5Over won
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Northeastern Huskies: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.