Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46535c9c0fb8a93e52aa0a1937a14abc226e5b5de5e91b31b689ac15abf01b37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 56c | 13,243$7,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,415.98 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 54c | 1,949$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.04 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 763$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 54c | 721.74$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.59 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 338.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 64c | 320.56$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 36c | 310.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…1093backed Yes | 37c | 253.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 36c | 243$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 51c | 155.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…89babacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 12c | 130.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 111.32$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 37c | 99.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Yes | 37c | 68.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddf…19febacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 36c | 55.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 32c | 54.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 56c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 41.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 64c | 28.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 58c | 24.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will Heracles Almelo vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?No won
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-11-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.