CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rare Atom - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x468d4884aa4a06dd131a06197a20ebb8c76bf75388b560fcf8654059e139a8e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof Ground Zero, Rare Atom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Rare Atom | 79c | 5,662$4,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,501.06 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ground Zero | 39c | 4,320$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.63 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed Rare Atom | 74c | 1,663$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.93 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ground Zero | 15c | 1,381$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.22 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ground Zero | 20c | 1,341$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.02 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Ground Zero | 21c | 1,319$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.58 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Ground Zero | 20c | 989.06$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.01 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…9ed6backed Rare Atom | 52c | 968.43$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Ground Zero | 22c | 650$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Ground Zero | 18c | 619.74$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.74 | 362 | 39.2%142 W · 220 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed Rare Atom | 52c | 444$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.23 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ground Zero | 24c | 399.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.57 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Ground Zero | 21c | 318.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.33 | 443 | 44%195 W · 248 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Rare Atom | 77c | 252$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked Rare Atom | 62c | 242.38$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.34 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ground Zero | 40c | 212.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.57 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Ground Zero | 30c | 195.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ground Zero | 24c | 192.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Ground Zero | 20c | 161.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Rare Atom | 80c | 151$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…e3d7backed Ground Zero | 20c | 145$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Ground Zero | 20c | 136$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Ground Zero | 21c | 115.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed Rare Atom | 50c | 100.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed Rare Atom | 64c | 46.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Rare Atom | 75c | 40.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ground Zero | 41c | 36.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed Ground Zero | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Rare Atom | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 447 | 63.5%284 W · 163 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rare Atom - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group AGround Zero won
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rare Atom - Map 1 WinnerRare Atom won
- Map Handicap: RA (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)Ground Zero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.