CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde926e260ff3f094fca4820c95d32c5e0b0e2872311e3878f3ddc522c787c439
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof Ground Zero, Rare Atom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Rare Atom | 55c | 5,461$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.16 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ground Zero | 34c | 2,762$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.57 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ground Zero | 51c | 2,068$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.66 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Ground Zero | 21c | 2,015$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.99 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rare Atom | 69c | 1,385$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.67 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Rare Atom | 76c | 1,100$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.5 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Ground Zero | 25c | 1,100$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Ground Zero | 53c | 1,037$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Ground Zero | 30c | 1,011$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.65 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Rare Atom | 65c | 1,000$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.24 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Ground Zero | 48c | 916.78$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.51 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ground Zero | 20c | 814.69$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.09 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Ground Zero | 44c | 668.18$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.16 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed Ground Zero | 32c | 580.83$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.28 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ground Zero | 38c | 511.65$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked Ground Zero | 29c | 392$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.43 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Ground Zero | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Ground Zero | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Ground Zero | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Rare Atom | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.38 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Ground Zero | 21c | 280.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.95 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Ground Zero | 20c | 267.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.69 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Ground Zero | 21c | 250$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Ground Zero | 21c | 237.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.32 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…3eaebacked Ground Zero | 22c | 229.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Ground Zero | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ground Zero | 52c | 162.56$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rare Atom | 77c | 149.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Ground Zero | 22c | 129.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Rare Atom | 67c | 127.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Rare Atom | 76c | 115.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Ground Zero | 23c | 114.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Ground Zero | 22c | 110$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rare Atom | 60c | 98.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rare Atom | 74c | 95.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Rare Atom | 41c | 91.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…da11backed Ground Zero | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Rare Atom | 71c | 76.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…cfa7backed Rare Atom | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Ground Zero | 37c | 68.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Rare Atom | 26c | 64.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Rare Atom | 78c | 64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Ground Zero | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rare Atom | 75c | 49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Ground Zero | 23c | 46.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Rare Atom | 77c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Rare Atom | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…9bf7backed Rare Atom | 69c | 28.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Rare Atom | 72c | 27.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Ground Zero | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 89 | 88.8%79 W · 10 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…fd44backed Rare Atom | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Rare Atom | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rare Atom - Map 1 WinnerRare Atom won
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rare Atom - Map 2 WinnerGround Zero won
- Map Handicap: RA (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)Ground Zero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.