Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Timofey Skatov vs Titouan Droguet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46a2c3a2628058b7cf2a71827846ff27b0385d856b6a47f1e85a1f27c92a0421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Droguetof Skatov, Droguet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Skatov | 29c | 2,883$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.62 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…36b9backed Droguet | 80c | 2,601$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Droguet | 72c | 1,052$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.7 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Skatov | 33c | 804.1$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.35 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Skatov | 21c | 703.6$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.76 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…ff89backed Droguet | 79c | 669.08$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.51 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Skatov | 20c | 666.03$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.88 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Skatov | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Skatov | 9c | 450$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Skatov | 16c | 202$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Droguet | 79c | 172.11$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…b9d5backed Droguet | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed Droguet | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Droguet | 77c | 100.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Skatov | 22c | 89.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Skatov | 23c | 87.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Skatov | 38c | 85.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Skatov | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Skatov | 21c | 77.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Skatov | 21c | 62.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Droguet | 61c | 61.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Droguet | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Droguet | 64c | 36.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Droguet | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Droguet | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Droguet | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Droguet | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Droguet | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Droguet | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Droguet | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.