Tennis · resolved market
Braunschweig: Juan Carlos Prado vs Adolfo Vallejo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46baf6e2fa827f10276647b419c6a76dcdf81f69f56f7504813ba1f41b42228e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adolfo Vallejoof Juan Carlos Prado, Adolfo Vallejo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juan Carlos Prado | 11c | 886.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Carlos Prado | 10c | 388.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Juan Carlos Prado | 24c | 328.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Adolfo Vallejo | 80c | 319.86$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Adolfo Vallejo | 75c | 234.79$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 29c | 234.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Juan Carlos Prado | 26c | 231.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Juan Carlos Prado | 7c | 194.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Juan Carlos Prado | 17c | 183.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Adolfo Vallejo | 49c | 161.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Juan Carlos Prado | 27c | 142.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 22c | 136.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Juan Carlos Prado | 14c | 112.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 22c | 103$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Juan Carlos Prado | 12c | 97.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 24c | 82.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Juan Carlos Prado | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Adolfo Vallejo | 73c | 71.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Juan Carlos Prado | 24c | 65.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Adolfo Vallejo | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Adolfo Vallejo | 80c | 21.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Adolfo Vallejo | 80c | 18.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 74c | 13.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.