Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $90 April 20-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4750af85df5244a7e65452f5c0ce802f52f4ce47e10993c10e307d97623b688e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 29c | 5,814$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.15 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 68c | 5,343$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.73 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…5186backed No | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked No | 70c | 903.29$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.66 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 30c | 357.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 6c | 326.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9db…f098backed Yes | 29c | 265.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…8ef4backed No | 79c | 250.01$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 67c | 237.28$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.96 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…ebb8backed Yes | 20c | 180.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…ab43backed Yes | 28c | 157.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Yes | 31c | 80.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…6ebcbacked No | 51c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 66c | 73.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…30aabacked No | 37c | 61.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +166.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed No | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5af0…011cbacked Yes | 44c | 43.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8133…6a9abacked No | 57c | 41.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe871…d7bdbacked Yes | 31c | 38.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…efd7backed No | 73c | 33.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2e…027cbacked No | 71c | 33.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…d78bbacked No | 44c | 33.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…a4f1backed Yes | 74c | 30.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…1c4cbacked No | 73c | 26.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 76cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 71c | 25.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…84acbacked No | 48c | 25.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a4…a548backed Yes | 46c | 23.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…5cd8backed No | 62c | 16.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…4fa8backed No | 73c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $90 April 20-26?this page
- Will Solana dip to $70 April 20-26?No won
- Will Solana reach $100 April 20-26?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 April 20-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.