La Liga · resolved market
Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4775e80ed5271e49f670cc6cd52929fbd1a47d6de8f53b44e17a709842d405fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 657.86$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.58 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 22c | 544$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 74c | 146.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 26c | 146.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 24c | 99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 22c | 96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 75c | 86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 22c | 73.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Under | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Under | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Under | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Under | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Under | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Under | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Under | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Under | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Under | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Under | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Under | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5this page
- Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5Over won
- Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.