La Liga · resolved market
Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83f7c3ec5b68318fc08d39800ccb5232a61f04720a05b82c4d343663805a3125
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 7,434$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.95 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 4,134$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.85 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 4,010$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.2 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 1,034$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.25 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 50c | 475.37$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.23 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 48c | 202.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 38c | 192.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.27 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 37c | 181.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 50c | 166$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 50c | 140.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 53c | 130.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 39c | 101.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Over | 47c | 93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 45c | 89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 49c | 82.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 44c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 53c | 73.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 54c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0406…c5b3backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 53c | 43.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…f57abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 35.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…5325backed Over | 36c | 33.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 56c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 73c | 32.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Under | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Under | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 52c | 21.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5this page
- Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.