Golf · resolved market
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x477d91c55deedb1635cfab805e5db09b8e831a49c3d59bf6ca34f96e089cd723
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed No | 15c | 585$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.6 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yes | 59c | 509.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 76c | 246.69$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.47 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked No | 41c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…2d11backed Yes | 58c | 172.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Yes | 71c | 87.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…c64dbacked Yes | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 102 | 68.6%70 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 50c | 69.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +8.6wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 31c | 37.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac84…4dbabacked Yes | 71c | 14.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?this page
- Will Aaron Rai finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Alex Smalley finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Andrew Putnam finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Ben Griffin finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Bud Cauley finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Cameron Young finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will David Puig finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Jackson Koivun finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Joaquin Niemann finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Justin Thomas finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Keegan Bradley finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Matt McCarty finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Max Greyserman finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Patrick Reed finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Patrick Rodgers finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Pierceson Coody finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Russell Henley finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Ryan Fox finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sahith Theegala finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Sam Stevens finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Shane Lowry finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tom Kim finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Viktor Hovland finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Wyndham Clark finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.