Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Loyola Marymount Lions (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4795d98b18fd0d12245374d8e88b3ba20fd704e692636aa19e586b5a0956bf7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Torerosof Loyola Marymount Lions, San Diego Toreros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,974 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked San Diego Toreros | 51c | 9,749$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.52 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 8,175$4,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,014.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Diego Toreros | 49c | 882.27$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.96 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 51c | 827.97$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.26 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 515.45$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.73 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 48c | 335.78$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.17 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…d5a3backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 54c | 325.24$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed San Diego Toreros | 53c | 263.61$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.23 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62eb…0d51backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 51c | 46.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Toreros | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 51c | 34.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked San Diego Toreros | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Loyola Marymount Lions (-5.5)this page
- San Diego Toreros vs. Loyola Marymount LionsSan Diego Toreros won
- San Diego Toreros vs. Loyola Marymount Lions: O/U 144.5Under won
- San Diego Toreros vs. Loyola Marymount Lions: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.