Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47a8285bf90dc2a09408edbcc34703ad49bb6ce1927964f7d74de3100aa32f72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 2,268$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 67c | 1,132$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.27 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 22c | 1,070$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.37 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f7…93c2backed Yes | 23c | 876.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 757.08$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.57 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 67c | 600.8$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 77c | 450.17$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 23c | 427.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…1eaebacked Yes | 22c | 333.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 58c | 333.28$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 23c | 254.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…b0e6backed No | 55c | 252.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed No | 77c | 249.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 5c | 210.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 33c | 190.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 66c | 159.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 23c | 147.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 56c | 108$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 24c | 82.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…8f69backed Yes | 24c | 81.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9f…b8cebacked No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes | 20c | 77.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 46c | 77.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 80c | 58.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 53.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Yes | 46c | 51.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 33.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…e2fdbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will Rangers FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.