La Liga · resolved market
CD Mirandés vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47b5ecba3e79c743e1e0365fddfa52b4bbb91c82574e2726ecb6b4a730fa52ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 562.04$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.07 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…4e25backed Yes | 54c | 286$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 49c | 140.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 49c | 108$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 50c | 84.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…f7cdbacked Yes | 50c | 55.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 50c | 50.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed No | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed No | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed No | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad5…7492backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…663abacked Yes | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 30.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 52c | 28.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed No | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 50c | 21.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Mirandés vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Mirandés vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Mirandés vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Mirandés vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Mirandés vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.