Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Nikita Bilozertsev vs Alexander Bernard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47e6622658b825e2781ad419a9b0c0bf8171f0eb413da3626a0433a85722b673
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexander Bernardof Nikita Bilozertsev, Alexander Bernard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5201…d9d6backed Nikita Bilozertsev | 3c | 7,400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 4c | 4,500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 10cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 5c | 3,750$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ec…becbbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 4c | 3,622$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 39c | 2,341$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.6 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 2c | 2,100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 8cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 2c | 1,480$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +209.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 69c | 1,407$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.22 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 6c | 1,205$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3793…01cebacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 2c | 755.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 31c | 670.73$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.07 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 13c | 666$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Nikita Bilozertsev | 10c | 620$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alexander Bernard | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…9751backed Alexander Bernard | 28c | 507.08$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.01 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alexander Bernard | 32c | 501.61$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.08 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 56c | 440$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.52 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 20c | 357.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 17c | 320$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alexander Bernard | 30c | 262.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.36 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nikita Bilozertsev | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Nikita Bilozertsev | 15c | 147.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 75c | 127.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alexander Bernard | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Nikita Bilozertsev | 67c | 39.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alexander Bernard | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.