Boxing · resolved market
Stuart vs. Breezy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48717be2cd98d4ac489a76fc26d277b066324b395d4ed68c1f037fd804effde1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stuartof Stuart, Breezy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0727…c055backed Breezy | 47c | 41,507$19,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,508.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b93…7edbbacked Stuart | 53c | 41,507$21,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,508.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f97…555fbacked Stuart | 54c | 29,426$15,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,535.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418e…481ebacked Breezy | 46c | 29,426$13,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,535.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…3232backed Stuart | 52c | 26,289$13,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,618.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…f535backed Breezy | 48c | 26,289$12,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,618.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…d78ebacked Breezy | 48c | 26,221$12,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,586.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc5…50bbbacked Stuart | 52c | 26,221$13,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,586.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…d1febacked Stuart | 54c | 22,645$12,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,416.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfb…2ab9backed Breezy | 46c | 22,645$10,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,416.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…abe6backed Stuart | 58c | 427.23$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Breezy | 46c | 312.78$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Breezy | 45c | 211.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf407…44bbbacked Stuart | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Stuart | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stuart vs. Breezythis page
- Coinvo Malik vs. YazanYazan won
- Hydraze vs. Crypto OGSHydraze won
- Tiko vs. DoubleyouTiko won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.