NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Torpedo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b94bda7cdd666da347c1f25c559869051185b7cd1be6bf6da5a7f3951fd0fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Torpedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7376…4f46backed Torpedo | 31c | 4,900$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…0360backed Torpedo | 31c | 1,800$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fe…98a5backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 1,400$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…0c28backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…4144backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…89d0backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 799.99$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172a…6502backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7d…c233backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27b…39edbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…7909backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…03febacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 288.85$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…01babacked Torpedo | 31c | 267.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Torpedo | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…2403backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b4…032fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 45.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…d1cabacked Torpedo | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Torpedo | 29c | 35.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 68c | 25.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 22.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…db7ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 19.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…dc61backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.