Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: South Dakota Coyotes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48c2dc389d3dceb585158530626e9fa63136445b97acdb0b95491ef2a1ad0e99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota Fighting Hawksof South Dakota Coyotes, North Dakota Fighting Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 50c | 126.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 50c | 77.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed South Dakota Coyotes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 50c | 47.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Dakota Coyotes (-1.5)this page
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. South Dakota CoyotesNorth Dakota Fighting Hawks won
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. South Dakota Coyotes: O/U 156.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.