Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. South Dakota Coyotes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8721cc5457e7f54a3690fa012b31f7db740b287376f2f9536dc64bc3b8c168f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota Fighting Hawksof North Dakota Fighting Hawks, South Dakota Coyotes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 58c | 562.42$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 44c | 556.64$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.17 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed South Dakota Coyotes | 31c | 450$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 42c | 385.28$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 65c | 360$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed South Dakota Coyotes | 53c | 351$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.03 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed South Dakota Coyotes | 62c | 276.31$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed South Dakota Coyotes | 26c | 257.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed South Dakota Coyotes | 44c | 202.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 46c | 199.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed South Dakota Coyotes | 21c | 170$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 47c | 165$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 24c | 142.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.01 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked South Dakota Coyotes | 53c | 113.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed South Dakota Coyotes | 53c | 70.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed South Dakota Coyotes | 38c | 68.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed South Dakota Coyotes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 35c | 61.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed South Dakota Coyotes | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked South Dakota Coyotes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked South Dakota Coyotes | 53c | 34.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 53c | 33.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed South Dakota Coyotes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…0979backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 55c | 20.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed South Dakota Coyotes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. South Dakota Coyotesthis page
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. South Dakota Coyotes: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: South Dakota Coyotes (-1.5)North Dakota Fighting Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.