Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Heerenveen vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48f5df48dcff4b615070dafe02fb4a1df85ae878398d7c973f23f82c6c19d07c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 60c | 2,750$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 61c | 1,825$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.86 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 16c | 1,348$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.68 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 16c | 1,001$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 864.44$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 860.8$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 570.29$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.29 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 58c | 430.14$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.66 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 419.78$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 402.16$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 38c | 315.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 20c | 127.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 18c | 124.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 58c | 69.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 17c | 67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 57c | 51.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 57c | 43.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Under | 42c | 35.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 70c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Heerenveen vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Heerenveen vs. Sparta Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Heerenveen vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Heerenveen vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Heerenveen vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)Sparta Rotterdam won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-2.5)SC Heerenveen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.