CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs KOLESIE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x492b6e08f320e7d9ed1dc5b493689eb6abdd1df78a527cae7ad2de36e1c3f024
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Leo Team, KOLESIE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KOLESIE | 15c | 1,583$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.86 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…cc01backed Leo Team | 43c | 402.55$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…cf14backed KOLESIE | 39c | 355.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Leo Team | 56c | 178.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed KOLESIE | 30c | 163.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed KOLESIE | 7c | 154.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed KOLESIE | 57c | 140.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…a734backed KOLESIE | 57c | 134.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked KOLESIE | 57c | 127.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked KOLESIE | 51c | 116.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed KOLESIE | 16c | 115$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Leo Team | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Leo Team | 57c | 98.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KOLESIE | 18c | 91.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KOLESIE | 22c | 89.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed KOLESIE | 60c | 83.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE | 26c | 75.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed KOLESIE | 25c | 71.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team | 47c | 69.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Leo Team | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked KOLESIE | 17c | 59.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 62c | 54.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8423…b9c1backed KOLESIE | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked KOLESIE | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7692…bcc9backed Leo Team | 75c | 33.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…375ebacked KOLESIE | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs KOLESIE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs KOLESIE - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.