TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs OKSavingsBank BRION (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OKSavingsBank BRIONof KT Rolster, OKSavingsBank BRION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,491 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked KT Rolster56c35,888$20,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,005.187751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed OKSavingsBank BRION43c33,296$14,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,823.681,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…b291backed KT Rolster57c4,842$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.93944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed OKSavingsBank BRION49c4,080$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.813846.4%64 W · 74 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed OKSavingsBank BRION48c3,046$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5844562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed OKSavingsBank BRION43c2,694$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.426246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed KT Rolster57c2,500$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42513531.9%43 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76b9…12e4backed OKSavingsBank BRION43c2,440$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bcf…dff4backed OKSavingsBank BRION43c2,402$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed KT Rolster51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed KT Rolster57c1,920$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.452538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed KT Rolster57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008252.4%43 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed OKSavingsBank BRION50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30085746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked KT Rolster56c599.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed OKSavingsBank BRION47c553.82$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.62,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked KT Rolster51c438.93$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8567552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked KT Rolster56c300$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.51,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed OKSavingsBank BRION45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11075738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked KT Rolster55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709d…0a62backed OKSavingsBank BRION46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.726052.7%137 W · 123 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed OKSavingsBank BRION49c90.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9122654.4%123 W · 103 L+20.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5db…b42dbacked OKSavingsBank BRION56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.611859.3%70 W · 48 L-11.2wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ddf…c9a6backed KT Rolster51c76.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392544%11 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed KT Rolster56c72.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.313253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed KT Rolster55c72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.616251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed KT Rolster57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a79…6acebacked OKSavingsBank BRION44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.182450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf5…95adbacked OKSavingsBank BRION43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.34957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed KT Rolster44c48.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4334050%170 W · 170 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed KT Rolster44c33.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5839152.2%204 W · 187 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed OKSavingsBank BRION49c30.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.621,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked OKSavingsBank BRION50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed KT Rolster58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.