Tennis · resolved market
Granby: Philip Sekulic vs Murphy Cassone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49ddeff1e0e8b6acbe883558531e6aad780033d8a9616a63bdf5f4561569e410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Murphy Cassoneof Philip Sekulic, Murphy Cassone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philip Sekulic | 14c | 3,534$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.53 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Philip Sekulic | 38c | 1,015$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.69 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Murphy Cassone | 62c | 787.89$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.2 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Murphy Cassone | 66c | 752.18$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.18 | 205 | 65.4%134 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…a0cebacked Philip Sekulic | 19c | 636.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Philip Sekulic | 5c | 581$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Philip Sekulic | 39c | 473.62$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.77 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Murphy Cassone | 80c | 466.92$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Murphy Cassone | 70c | 278.74$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Philip Sekulic | 38c | 260.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Philip Sekulic | 39c | 255.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Murphy Cassone | 59c | 254.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Philip Sekulic | 41c | 245.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Murphy Cassone | 63c | 238.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Murphy Cassone | 78c | 192.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 117 | 65%76 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Murphy Cassone | 62c | 190$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Murphy Cassone | 62c | 154.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Murphy Cassone | 62c | 145$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Philip Sekulic | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Philip Sekulic | 38c | 139.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Philip Sekulic | 37c | 115.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Philip Sekulic | 38c | 105.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Philip Sekulic | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…08ffbacked Philip Sekulic | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Philip Sekulic | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Philip Sekulic | 38c | 75.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Murphy Cassone | 62c | 65.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Murphy Cassone | 61c | 64.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Murphy Cassone | 62c | 58.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Philip Sekulic | 38c | 57.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Murphy Cassone | 62c | 56.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Philip Sekulic | 37c | 54.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Philip Sekulic | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Philip Sekulic | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Murphy Cassone | 30c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Philip Sekulic | 38c | 30.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Murphy Cassone | 62c | 27.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Philip Sekulic | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Philip Sekulic | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Granby: Philip Sekulic vs Murphy Cassonethis page
- Sekulic vs. Cassone: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Sekulic vs CassoneCassone won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.