NHL · resolved market
DEL: Augsburger Panther vs. Bremerhaven
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49f33e9ab4ed3829c7bbb69f27c751035f491157f046684bc4818bf7026ad22b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bremerhavenof Augsburger Panther, Bremerhaven
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3b3…3857backed Augsburger Panther | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…ab7fbacked Bremerhaven | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab0…83ddbacked Bremerhaven | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…4c26backed Bremerhaven | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bremerhaven | 56c | 544.88$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.75 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Augsburger Panther | 44c | 345.86$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.18 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ec…162bbacked Augsburger Panther | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c5…b34bbacked Bremerhaven | 47c | 230$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Augsburger Panther | 44c | 226.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ec…bc09backed Augsburger Panther | 47c | 226$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x887d…fd0cbacked Augsburger Panther | 47c | 224$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Bremerhaven | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Augsburger Panther | 49c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Bremerhaven | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.