F1 · resolved market
Who will finish higher: Ocon or Bearman?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a2db70c6700400aeba47a246288b1411fdaa6593b1c35a21130126ba0718598
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oconof Ocon, Bearman
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Ocon | 70c | 190.9$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…7b85backed Bearman | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Ocon | 53c | 48.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Bearman | 47c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…225dbacked Bearman | 47c | 26.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Bearman | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Ocon | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Who will finish higher: Ocon or Bearman?this page
- Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton?Leclerc won
- Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Norris?Norris won
- Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Russell?Leclerc won
- Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?Piastri won
- Who will finish higher: Norris or Verstappen?Verstappen won
- Who will finish higher: Piastri or Russell?Piastri won
- Who will finish higher: Russell or Antonelli?Russell won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.