Other European Leagues · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a3c1e754465db0b39096026bbeb88ad556bcb9ab190d5bf721111c610653663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 0c | 6,971$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 18c | 3,386$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.47 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 1,199$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 23c | 586.52$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.62 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 34c | 378.5$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.81 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 60c | 338.01$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…5131backed Over | 65c | 323.29$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 309.78$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 305.61$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.02 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 197.22$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Under | 67c | 148.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 36c | 81.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 79c | 60.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 72c | 56.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 77c | 41.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 44c | 24.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 4.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Willem II Tilburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Willem II Tilburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Willem II Tilburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Willem II Tilburg: Willem II Tilburg O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-1.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-2.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: Willem II Tilburg (-2.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.