Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a44dc904f53e6b0c0e204737dec1e51d2872fb5ca0d515447e96c8a6d3a27c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 35c | 611.75$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.11 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Yes | 66c | 532.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -69%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Yes | 64c | 390.62$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…0030backed Yes | 65c | 381.85$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 36c | 360.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 36c | 263.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…0bacbacked Yes | 62c | 242.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 59c | 211$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…27e6backed Yes | 65c | 183.14$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 59c | 179.08$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 55c | 150.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 146.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 59c | 107.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 39c | 73.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…28bbbacked Yes | 65c | 71.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e2…264cbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 38c | 43.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked No | 38c | 38.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 38c | 34.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 68c | 31.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5687…e0ccbacked Yes | 65c | 17.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Draw at halftime?No won
- Parma Calcio 1913 leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.