CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a540caec8c2b7d796364daa1041dc12b14ca20673c0dc20d5401741ac68e34f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OLDBOYS-of Rune Eaters, OLDBOYS-
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked OLDBOYS- | 60c | 2,394$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.55 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Rune Eaters | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Rune Eaters | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 547.89$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.64 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Rune Eaters | 8c | 491.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 246.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 226.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 205.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 154.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked OLDBOYS- | 60c | 82.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa39…e4afbacked Rune Eaters | 23c | 66.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked OLDBOYS- | 59c | 57.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 57.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OLDBOYS- | 74c | 50.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs OLDBOYS- - Map 1 WinnerOLDBOYS- won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs OLDBOYS- - Map 2 WinnerOLDBOYS- won
- Map Handicap: OLDBOYS- (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)OLDBOYS- won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.