CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs 163ON - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a60d2939fc0123e37073b64c0669ac2d0cfe7135b7a5f54da57c5b9da81940f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof VP.Prodigy, 163ON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked 163ON | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VP.Prodigy | 51c | 246.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked VP.Prodigy | 50c | 207$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 163ON | 46c | 205.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 163ON | 48c | 152.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked VP.Prodigy | 31c | 132.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 163ON | 29c | 127.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked VP.Prodigy | 77c | 43.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked VP.Prodigy | 31c | 34.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…02c0backed 163ON | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed 163ON | 59c | 33.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed 163ON | 57c | 30.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…b2ddbacked VP.Prodigy | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked 163ON | 48c | 27.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…2b32backed VP.Prodigy | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 71c | 20.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 163ON | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 163ON | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed VP.Prodigy | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs 163ON - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs 163ON (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffs163ON won
- Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs 163ON - Map 1 Winner163ON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.